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2026 FORECAST

Quebec House Prices 2026: Forecast & Trends

Single-family homes +5%, condos +3%, plexes +7%. Real estate prices continue to rise across Quebec in 2026. Region-by-region analysis based on APCIQ and Royal LePage data.

📅 February 2026⏱️ 10 min read📊 APCIQ + Royal LePage

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The real estate forecast for Quebec in 2026 is clear: prices will continue to rise, but at a moderate pace. APCIQ and Royal LePage agree on increases of 3 to 7% depending on property type and region. Here’s the breakdown.

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📊 Provincial Overview — Prices by Type

Quebec median prices in 2026, across all markets:

$520,000

Single-family (+5%)

$380,000

Condos (+3%)

$750,000

Plexes (+7%)

💡 Source: these forecasts are based on data from APCIQ (Association professionnelle des courtiers immobiliers du Québec) and Royal LePage quarterly reports.

🗺️ Region-by-Region Analysis

The regional gap is widening in 2026. Here are single-family median prices by major region:

$615,000

Montreal (+5%)

$490,000

Gatineau (+6%)

$380,000

Quebec City (+4%)

$420,000

Sherbrooke (+4%)

⚠️ Growing gap: the gap between Montreal and smaller regions continues to widen. A single-family home in Montreal now costs 60% more than in Quebec City and 47% more than in Sherbrooke.

🏢 The Plex Segment — 2026’s Star Performer

Plexes (duplexes, triplexes) show the strongest price growth in 2026. Several factors explain this enthusiasm:

1. 💸 Rental income — Rents rose 8–12% in 2025, improving returns

2. 🏠 Owner-occupier strategy — Buyers live in one unit and rent others to cover the mortgage

3. 📈 Shrinking supply — Few new plexes are built, inventory is declining

4. 🌍 Immigration — Rental demand stays strong with new residents arriving

$750,000

Provincial median plex

$841,800

Montreal median plex

🤔 Factors Driving the Increase

Several macroeconomic factors support Quebec’s price increases in 2026:

✅ Bullish factors

Low mortgage rates (fixed at 3.89%)

Structural housing shortage

Immigration and demographic growth

Pent-up demand from the past 2 years

⚠️ Limiting factors

Strained affordability

Global economic uncertainty

Canada–US trade tensions

Possible investor regulation

💡 Advice for Buyers and Sellers

Here are our recommendations based on your situation:

🏠 Buyers

Lock in a low fixed rate now

Explore emerging neighbourhoods

Consider regions close to Montreal

Get pre-approved for your mortgage

💰 Sellers

Spring 2026 will be ideal to sell

Get an accurate valuation first

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Invest in home staging

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Written by Hamza T., OACIQ-certified realtor · AI graduate, UQAR

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