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RATES & FINANCING

Mortgage Rates March 2026: Bank of Canada Update

5-year fixed at ~3.69%, variable at ~3.35%, prime rate at 4.45%. Complete analysis for buyers and sellers in the spring market.

📅 March 2026⏱️ 9 min read🏦 Bank of Canada Data

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The Bank of Canada has released its March 2026 decision. Mortgage rates continue their downward trend, with the 5-year fixed around 3.69% and variable at ~3.35%. Here’s the complete analysis for the spring market.

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🏦 Bank of Canada Announcement — March 2026

The BoC held its policy rate in March 2026, continuing the pause that began after successive cuts in 2024–2025. Inflation is stabilizing near the 2% target, and the economy shows signs of moderate recovery.

2.25%

Policy rate held

4.45%

Prime rate

-2.75%

Cumulative drop since 2023

💡 Did you know? The policy rate dropped from 5.00% to 2.25% in 18 months (mid-2024 to early 2026). The prime rate fell from 7.20% to 4.45% over the same period.

💰 Mortgage Rate Table — March 2026

Here are the current mortgage rates for March 2026 in Canada:

~3.69%

5-year fixed (best rate)

~3.35%

Variable (best rate)

4.45%

Prime rate

Tip: in March 2026, the variable rate is once again lower than the fixed rate. This is a return to the historical norm that benefits borrowers willing to accept some risk.

📊 February vs March 2026 Comparison

Rates continued their slight decline between February and March 2026:

February 2026

5-yr fixed: 3.89 – 4.29%

Variable: 4.45 – 4.90%

Prime: 4.45%

✅ March 2026

5-yr fixed: ~3.69%

Variable: ~3.35%

Prime: 4.45%

💡 Key point: the bond market continued to decline, pulling fixed rates lower. Variable rates also dropped below fixed, restoring the historical norm.

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🏠 Impact on Montreal Buyers and Sellers

Lower rates create a favourable environment for the Montreal spring market:

1. 💳 Higher buying power — A household earning $100K can borrow ~$500,000 at 3.69%, up from $485K in February

2. 🏠 More accessible properties — The entry threshold drops for condos and plexes

3. 📈 Sellers benefit — More qualified buyers means more competition on offers

4. 🔄 Favourable renewals — Those renewing in 2026 enjoy rates well below 2023 levels

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🔮 Spring 2026 Outlook

Several factors will determine the direction of rates this spring:

1. 📉 Cautious BoC — A possible 0.25% additional cut if the economy slows

2. 📊 Inflation under control — Near the 2% target, supportive of stable or lower rates

3. 🌍 US tariffs — Trade tensions could weigh on the Canadian economy

4. 🏠 Spring market — Seasonal demand increase could accelerate transactions

💡 Key takeaway: the 5-year fixed could drop below 3.50% by summer 2026. For buyers, now is the ideal time to get pre-qualified and target a property before the peak season.

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Written by Hamza T., OACIQ-certified realtor · AI graduate, UQAR

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